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Monday, July 16, 2007

President Kibaki's Secret Election—Winning Strategy

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Today's posts are all dedicated to the closest friend I ever had, the late Ger Nyanjom, whose life was brutally cut short before he could achieve his dreams. The man who shot him at point blank range in a Nairobi office and stole nothing in 2005 has never been arrested to this day. Circumstances point to the fact that my friend "G" as he was fondly known to those who were close to him, lost his life because he was a Luo (sorry, I can't give details).

Thank you "G" for being there for me when I was down and out. I will not rest until all the Luo propaganda, that has caused so much anguish to this community and which was partly to blame for your death, is reversed and all Kenyans reach a place where they understand and appreciate the Luo community as precious Kenyans whose contribution to our beloved motherland has always been downplayed and undermined. I dream that one day soon, a popular Luo president will be elected in Kenya and the electorate will not even notice that he is a Luo…


I hope all you good folks know who Mutahi Ngunyi is. It is very important that you know because he is at the center of an election campaign winning strategy that has been carefully implemented even before the chaotic referendum of 2005 that is designed to see the ailing, sickly President Kibaki back in power for another 5 year term.

Mutahi Ngunyi is that guy in specs who used to make cutting edge analysis in the run up to the 2002 general elections, mostly on KTN TV. He has admitted himself that during those elections he also did some consultancy work for the Kibaki team (which he says in one column that was published in the Daily Nation, candidate Kibaki at that time did not appreciate and arrogantly wondered whether he (Ngunyi) knew what he was talking about.)

In the early years of the Kibaki administration Mutahi Ngunyi's column in the Sunday Nation had become a must-read, especially because of his biting, but well-researched criticism of the Kibaki administration. But suddenly one day, without any proper explanation, the column disappeared. It was later learnt that Mr Ngunyi's highly critical columns had served their intended purpose and the political scientist had joined the president's team of political advisors.

It seems that this information is yet to reach the Standard media group because they still carry the man's views as independent views on both KTN and the Standard newspaper.

I would like to draw your attention to a newspaper article heavily quoting Ngunyi that was published in the Sunday Standard, yesterday. In the article Ngunyi emphasizes that the coming elections will be a two-horse race affair between President Kibaki and Raila Odinga. He ignores the current activity within Kanu and Moi's clear hand in a move that will yield no doubt yield a third major presidential candidate and a political force carefully positioned to cash in on the massive expected fall out in both ODM and Narc-Kenya when the parliamentary candidates nomination exercises are completed. All this is information Ngunyi is definitely aware of.

Read The Standard article for yourself;

So why would Ngunyi be doing this? The answer is rather obvious. Such a scenario would play right into the hands of the President's advisors and would ensure a Kibaki victory.

The terrible truth, which hurts me deeply even as I write it (see my other post to discover why) is that a Raila candidacy as the ODM candidate would greatly favor President Kibaki. It does not matter how united ODM would be. And that is the reason why this otherwise excellent political analyst made his strange statement to the newspapers.

Insiders have revealed to this blogger (and I have published almost all the information I have obtained here. Almost all. Some of it is too hot even for this blog—maybe later) that there is one possible ODM candidate who causes the president's advisors to urinate in their trousers. That man's name is Musalia Mudavadi. A united ODM that remains intact with Mudavadi as the candidate would deliver a landslide victory to ODM. Sadly if such a thing were to occur, Kenyans would be placing a Goldenberg suspect (yet to be cleared, like Saitoti) as President of Kenya. The man is also not only a close confidante of retired President Moi, but the two are related.

So why would a Raila candidature favor President Kibaki? Regular readers of this blog will know the answer to that question. Years of Jomo Kenyatta propaganda after the assassination of Tom Mboya is deeply ingrained in the psyche of even younger Kenyans that it has been passed onto. Make no mistake about it, propaganda is very powerful indeed.

While many of the so-called Gema communities voted against the government and for the Orange during the referendum, majority of them will not vote for a Raila presidency. What will happen is that ODM will bag the majority of seats in parliament and lose the presidency.

Let me be a little more blunt (and you will forgive me because I am here to tell the truth as I see it. When I favor a candidate I will say so openly and I have said several times here that out of the current candidates, Raila Odinga is the most suitable. He is the one I would favor over Mwai Kibaki any day. But suitability and political reality are often two very different things. Even the political dreams that Kumekucha has are easier to achieve than a Raila Presidency. The horrible truth is that while many Kenyans seated in the comfort of their city offices will say that they can vote for Raila, when they go back to their villages to do the actual voting, the tribal demons that will arise in them will not allow them to vote for a Luo.

If you don’t believe me, just talk quietly to the following villagers; Kikuyu, Kamba, Kisii, Kuria, Masai, Meru, Giriama, Digo (I think you all know that the majority of votes are scattered out there in remote villages many of which you have not been to—luckily Kumekucha has traveled widely in Kenya) and ask them if they would vote for a Raila presidency? When they say "No" don't bother to ask them why because very few people will tell you the truth. And even fewer know the truth behind how this "feeling" was deliberately planted in the hearts and minds of so many Kenyan communities during the Kenyatta presidency and what the objective of doing this was.

Now you understand why it would be in Narc Kenya's best interests to create chaos within ODM and ensure that the ODM candidate is not anybody else but Raila Odinga, because he will be very easy to deal with come the day of reckoning when Kenyans have to vote in their next president.

Other articles in this blog from the past on Mutahi Ngunyi…

As Nation columnist, his predictions mostly came true

How the man looks like plus article announcing that he is in fact one of the main advisors

John Githongo Versus Mutahi Ngunyi: The Court battle