From the latest Steadmann Polls, we now know why Kalonzo Musyoka wanted the ODM presidential candidate decided early. What his handlers feared would happen has come to pass, at least according to the latest poll where he has continued to slip further behind as Raila surges ahead.
We also know that amongst the “lies peddled by current prominent ODM luminaries was that Kalonzo would be the opposition’s presidential candidate. That would explain the sudden popularity of the Mwingi North MP and his high score even in Luo Nyanza for the presidency. But now that the rift within ODM has become common knowledge, it seems that the popularity of the candidate is melting fast before our very eyes.
I have always said that I do not consider the Steadmann polls accurate and I have not changed my position. The polls reflect mostly the feelings of Kenyans who have their heads above the water. The millions of voiceless fellow countrymen whom it is claimed live on a dollar a day (actually many of them don’t see that amount of cash in a year) are yet to have their say.
I could take the Steadmann pollsters to parts of Mathare, Kibera and Dagoretti where if they will refuse to believe that they are in Kenya.
But what is even more disturbing about the ODM nomination is that my reseach shows that there is a significant number of voters who will cross to Narc-Kenya if Kalonzo fails to be named the ODM-presidential candidate. Probably not enough to mean defeat for a Raila led ODM, but still significant enough to be anxious about. Sadly this also includes ordinary folk on the ground.
President Kibaki 45%
Raila Odinga 25%
Kalonzo Musyoka 11%
Musalia Mudavadi 3%
Uhuru Kenyatta 2%
William Ruto 2%
Will not vote 1%
No preferred candidate 1%
Poll conducted June 27th to July 4th 2007
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